{"id":30111,"date":"2025-09-26T09:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.engineernewsnetwork.com\/blog\/?p=30111"},"modified":"2025-09-24T18:08:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T17:08:09","slug":"will-it-burst-ai-bubble-reality-check-for-investors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.engineernewsnetwork.com\/blog\/will-it-burst-ai-bubble-reality-check-for-investors\/","title":{"rendered":"Will it burst? AI bubble reality check for investors"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Sam Bourgi offers a compelling and timely analysis of whether the current AI tech boom is heading for a  crash<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From baggy jeans making a comeback to South Park dominating pop culture chatter, it feels like the late &#8217;90s all over again. But beneath the nostalgia, a familiar question nags at markets and media: is today&#8217;s tech boom headed for the same kind of crash we saw 25 years ago?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The S&amp;P 500&#8217;s top 10 now account for an unprecedented share of total market value, with AI giants comprising a record 23%. For investors in an S&amp;P 500 index fund, nearly 25 cents of every dollar is allocated to just six AI companies.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many say, this level of concentration resembles the conditions before the dot-com bubble, and we all remember what happened.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in 2000, the market looked similarly top-heavy.<strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cisionone-email.investorsobserver.com\/c\/eJwsjk1u7CAQhE8Du46gDTZesMhmrhFhaMfIPz2vQTPK7Z8cZVf6Sqr6SsRgzaAp2smHCT2i1Vs0I67kvUPyoczkRr8OLhR0yaxIuegax1CccX5cyI9f1maTA9rJZOVMq4X2-g_OVA-SBj64OS-Lcx62b7_vH3ehj7j1_mxq-FT4UPio14taZ2m8NJIXyUfmU-FDqFGSvP3GJ0uHs2bhxmuHzryDneCHkjToDEKZXySwCp_QN4LCHTKfkCW1Dd71OGCr980PCD0pdVhZIFVonfPeFD70SaUmEDooNYJa4i_4-gNq-LR-MBi0xHqtrJyh67teRHLRu13U3yz77a5bF6LzXpjdMLl5WsCUxYFbjIFgfYC5BEOhGMwm6VfE_wEAAP__jAKBzA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">InvestorsObserver<\/a><\/strong>\u00a0reported that Microsoft lost 58% of its value and took nearly 17 years to recover. Cisco collapsed by 82% and has yet to return to its peak price. Intel fell 72% and still trades below its 2000 highs. Industry leaders, no matter how dominant, are not immune to correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fast-forward to today: Nvidia, the biggest AI chip maker, lost\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cisionone-email.investorsobserver.com\/c\/eJxMjrvOozAQRp_G7iYa38AULv6G14h8mQQLMFnbhNdfsdri70bfGR2d5KQVqDg5MRo7SiOl4IsTKoohev8KQng50BSmISmlBiSl8WV5doNNGrUZApnhKUTEaKUYMTKNLSda8x_Yfd6oNjBWTzEErQ0sb7OujxvwzS29fxpTP0zOTM7XdT1KiIWu9ojHzuQczpYLtfbrhBszOZdvTtnDdjRqsPu6Uoev306CuNyPBD5D67728wOJ6NOIVkgUzg41Fi_spJXgO92WShv5RpCT-zc8_w9M_QijUFpeXS6vg2mk8s6FqN4Zhfp11PWO5a1Xov02TFqNehoDYAoadEAEK4yFKVkkm1BG9Pzr5N8AAAD__wIyeRI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>$600 billion<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0in value in just one day, thanks to a curveball thrown by a Chinese company, DeepSeek. DeepSeek claims it built AI technology for less than\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cisionone-email.investorsobserver.com\/c\/eJwsjztu7TAQQ1cjd3MxGku2XLhI420E-kwiwfrcJxnx9h8cpGFxSJBg2MlInCfe5arNSppITnG30qBbiRe9eOUce49kwuaD25gobFPaFxMUKr041sunlB69IbmiFwpHCnymf1BsytwHaKM275xSGuK3Ps_XY0x5j9f1HmL-EHQIOu77fn217ni8fCuCjpEuHoKOYvtZUuWf5KOgg5C0oAPpkUXQcUWGBUrKObUKNoFrxY3IOUNsNwTm92A-YcTWTrhtzjCuznyBreHJZ7aB-4jpLeiYCodkoXNmOxhS2H_B5x8Q84fUM5KZ-p7qVxMKuX6nytwr36Pydbd-Pg-m35HyNGxqXtW2OsDgFCiHCEZqA1swyCYgebTTz07_AwAA__9lb34F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>$6 million<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0(competing with systems that cost billions).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This stresses how fragile valuations based on overly optimistic growth assumptions can be, even when core businesses remain strong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should investors be worried? To some extent, yes. If such claims are credible, demand for expensive chips could plummet, dramatically squeezing margins. AI could become a ubiquitous consumer technology, much like the smartphone.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless of innovation or past performance, no sector is immune to cycles of hype, correction, and disruptive competition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, panic could be premature. Instead, people should use this moment to reassess risks and find value beyond hype-driven trades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many investors assume index funds offer diversification, but they represent a substantial bet on AI in today&#8217;s market.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With all the hype, stock prices assume AI will revolutionize everything immediately, when in reality, it&#8217;s similar to a gym membership after New Year&#8217;s \u2013 a classic case of overhyped adoption with limited tangible results, as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cisionone-email.investorsobserver.com\/c\/eJwszkGu3CAQBNDTwK6_GgwDLFj8ja_xBaY9btnGE0AzSk4fOcr2lVRVJWqvcJIUlbPeaau1klssDhNaT5lCMbRS1jZkchSCQuVWLzk-fDFo7COTffwoteDitXK4CIOdC-38C87EB7UO1puw5GyMhe1p9_3rDuQRtzFeXUzfQs9Cz4nP9Ex_uNLXcp1Cz5U-Xej55AGf7TcEC9cKVAe1V-NOkBi4vqmPk-rosCY-YFxQ6OA3NXlS4QSNDkqdgEv8Bz__QUzfyk6ovWyR63oJg1SfXInavVtpfK62309kH43ovBuCmZwJLgOWbMBkRPDKegjFI_mCesEk31H_DQAA__94fWxp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>95%<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0of companies using AI see zero revenue growth from it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what should your strategy be? Some investors might consider hedging or shorting chipmakers or investing in established firms that generate consistent, sustainable profits, those &#8220;boring&#8221; companies in sectors like healthcare, utilities, or consumer goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My only advice is to diversify. No theme or sector should comprise more than 10% of your portfolio.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, AI accounts for 23% of the market. While industries like healthcare, utilities, and consumer goods may not be as headline-grabbing as technology, they haven&#8217;t lost 82% of their value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The recent cooling in AI stocks could be an early sign of structural stress. Whether the market stabilizes or unravels further is uncertain.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What&#8217;s at stake is whether the current market leaders can maintain their dominance without falling into the same traps that brought down their dot-com predecessors. However, good companies tend to recover.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now might be your chance to rebalance your portfolio. A proportional approach will help you sleep better. On some occasions playing it safe is wise, even if it&#8217;s less exciting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sam Bourgi\u00a0is a finance analyst and researcher at <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/Investors Observer\">InvestorsObserver<\/a><\/strong>,source of independent financial analysis, market insights, and investment research for individuals and institutions. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sam Bourgi offers a compelling and timely analysis of whether the current AI tech boom is heading for a crash From baggy jeans making a comeback to South Park dominating pop culture chatter, it feels like the late &#8217;90s all over again. But beneath the nostalgia, a familiar question nags at markets and media: is &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","","category-process"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Will it burst? 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